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What's New with the Bird Flu?

May 15 - 31, 2006
Current events and news reports regarding the H5N1 Virus
By Kristy Baumgart, Epidemiologist, St. Charles County Department of Community Health and the Environment

Current human death rate from the H5N1 strain is 56.7% (224 cases, 127 deaths). Both Egypt and Indonesia report additional avian influenza cases. Indonesia reports an additional 15 cases since our last report; 7 of which are from a family cluster. WHO reports:

Although the investigation is continuing, preliminary findings indicate that three of the confirmed cases spent the night of 29 April in a small room together with the initial case at a time when she was symptomatic and coughing frequently. These cases include the woman’s two sons and a second brother, aged 25 years, who is the sole surviving case among infected members of this family. Other infected family members lived in adjacent homes.

All confirmed cases in the cluster can be directly linked to close and prolonged exposure to a patient during a phase of severe illness. Although human-to-human transmission cannot be ruled out, the search for a possible alternative source of exposure is continuing.

Both the Ministry of Health and WHO are concerned about the situation in Kubu Sembelang and have intensified investigation and response activities. Priority is now being given to the search for additional cases of influenza-like illness in other family members, close contacts, and the general community. To date, the investigation has found no evidence of spread within the general community and no evidence that efficient human-to-human transmission has occurred.

Preliminary reports from Indonesia indicate that pigs in the Sumatra province have tested positive for avian flu. These reports are concerning because pigs can act as mixing vessels in which human and bird flu viruses can swap genes, leading to a strain that can easily infect people and pass from person to person. It has not been confirmed if the virus is H5N1.

Nations With Confirmed Cases H5N1 Avian Influenza (May 12):



WHO Laboratory Confirmed H5N1 Human Cases As of 5/15/06

Country 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total
cases deaths cases deaths cases deaths cases deaths cases deaths
Azerbaijan 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 8 5
Cambodia 0 0 0 0 4 4 2 2 6 6
China 0 0 0 0 8 5 10 7 18 12
Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Egypt 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 6 14 6
Indonesia 0 0 0 0 17 11 31 25 48 36
Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2
Thailand 0 0 17 12 5 2 0 0 22 14
Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 4 12 4
Viet Nam 3 3 29 20 61 19 0 0 93 42
Total 3 3 46 32 95 41 80 51 224 127

Total number of cases includes number of deaths.
WHO reports only laboratory-confirmed cases.


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